Can anything honestly be that elusive?
Oh, yeah!
May
27,
2010
Dear Mark:
Four times this past weekend I was dealt
four cards to a royal flush, and I didn’t
hit one. Why not all five cards as opposed
to just four? Also, can a video poker
machine be programmed to deal four cards to
a royal to encourage continued play on my
part, and then be programmed to never allow
me a royal flush? Ellen R.
The ever-elusive royal flush, Ellen, is
the best hand you can make in video poker.
It receives the highest payout available and
it occurs whenever you string together an
A-K-Q-J-T of the same suit. A four-card
royal flush draw is the combination of any
of the four cards necessary to make a royal
flush, such as a T-Q-K-A of spades.
Getting any royal, even with a draw, is
a rarity. Try approximately once every
40,000 hands. With a 52-card deck there are
2,598,960 possible hands, and only four of
them can be royal dealt naturally. This
means the odds of being dealt a royal flush
without the need of a draw are 1 in 649,740.
Them’s not very good odds, is they, Ellen?
Preventing big winning hands like
royal flushes from appearing their
theoretical number of times could be
accomplished by secondary decision
programming. A good programmer could write
code that allows the computer within to stop
a hand that is about to be dealt in favor of
a different hand. But in a highly regulated
industry like casinos, with most
jurisdictions following Nevada's regulation
that the machines deal from a fair deck, it
is safe to assume honesty in the machine you
were playing. Dear
Mark: Because you have to bet $110 to win
$100 on most sports wagers, does that mean
the house edge on a football game is 10
percent? That seems awful high to me. Dale
C. When it comes to
sports betting, Dale, the last thing the
casino wants is to be top heavy on any one
team. They leave the gambling up to you and
would prefer to just balance the books on
every game. That’s what the point spread is
for. Getting identical action on both sides.
Your cost – the house edge -- on any
sporting bet where you wager $110 to win
$100 is 4.55 percent. That extra $10 is NOT
a percentage edge, but a commission or
vigorish (a.k.a. vig), taken by the house as
compensation for allowing you to bet on the
game. For example, let’s say
that both you and I are betting on the
Detroit/Green Bay football game. You favor
the Packers, while I’m on the Detroit Lions.
We each bet $110, which gives the sports
book a total cash inflow of $220. If you
win, you turn in your winning ticket and get
back $210 --- your original $110 plus $100
in winnings. Now here's the barnyard math,
Dale, which will get you to that 4.55
percent casino advantage. The
house edge is the $10 the casino keeps from
the $220 total we staked on the game. Divide
10 by 220, and you get .0455. Now multiply
.0455 by 100 to convert to a percentage,
which gives the house 4.55 percent of total
we bet on the game. Ah, but that’s the edge
on both of our wagers. The percentage of
sports bets you have to win to break even
against the house is at least 52.28 percent
of any point-spread wagers you make.
Gambling Wisdom
of the Week: “Playing poker with
great players is like trying to juggle a
chainsaw, machete, and an axe. One mistake
and you lose a hand.” --VP Pappy
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