That’s what drove Aunt Matilda to
cribbage with cocoa
May
14,
2010
Dear Mark: I
enjoy playing video keno. I have tried every
combination of numbers and I just can't win.
Do the numbers bear any meaning on winning
or does the machine work like a slot with a
timed chip in it. I am at my wit’s end over
this game and I have been playing it for 15
years. You would think I would have figured
it out by now that it is impossible to win.
I need some sanity in my life. Lori M.
Raise your hand, Lori, if you
desire to win more money in the casino.
Fantastic! Now hands down. Note, Lori, I
didn’t say, win more money at video keno.
Our journey towards sanity and
cents begins with, “Do the numbers bear any
meaning on winning…?” As for the number of
spots played, yes, but as to which number
will appear, no. All of today’s video
machines, including video keno, operate
using microprocessor technology and
randomized sequencing. On a properly
functioning video keno machine, no specific
numbers or combination of numbers are any
more likely to appear than any other number
or combination of numbers. But I do know the
three main reasons why your hard-earned
money could be finding its way into the
casino’s coffer. They are the house edge,
spots played, and speed of the game.
The reason you seldom win, Lori,
is because video keno is a
negative-expectation game, meaning; it’s got
a house edge, and a decent one at that. On
the plus side, the house edge on a video
keno game is much lower than that on a live
keno game. For a live keno game it’s 28%,
whereas with video keno it can be as low as
7.5%. Hence, video keno has better
paytables. But, at $1 a ticket, the most you
could lose on a live keno game played
conservatively is about $15 an hour. But
zippy video keno can increase the speed of
the game more than tenfold. That superficial
sense of sweetness we get in comparing video
keno’s 7.5% casino advantage to the 28% live
game advantage is illusory, because your
monetary servitude to the house can end up
being much, much higher. Which leads me to
my first bit of advice. The slower you play,
the less hard-earned money you’ll put
through the shredder. The next
question begging attention is, exactly how
many spots are you trying to hit? Is it
five, 10, no, not 15? If you are, like many
players I’ve seen, leaning on some form of
celestial luck to hit a 15-spot, you might
as well fugedaboutit! Chances of hitting
this critter are approximately 428 billion
to one. A 10-spot? Those chances of hitting
10 of 10 are, at best, one in 10 million.
Or, take for instance my personal
five spot (2, 25, 55, 73, 78). In the 18
years on the inside working the Green Felt
Jungle, figure five days a week, eight hour
shifts, I have seen my 5-spot appear only
four times. And believe me, I was always
glancing at the keno board, amongst other
things. The Eureka! Message
here, Lori, is that video keno might just
not be your game. I mention changing games
cautiously, not knowing how averse you might
be to doing so, but possibly I can convince
you to play something else among the games
that are often mentioned in this column. If
not, well, I tried. So, Lori,
if you so choose to stick with video keno,
I’ll begin with my badgering narrative: “The
smarter you play, the luckier you’ll be.”
You do that by hunting for the
highest-paying paytable. Scrutinize each
paytable to find which one gives you the
lowest house edge. Play far fewer spots so
the odds against hitting a winning ticket
are not so astronomical. Deliberately play
at a leisurely pace. Use your slot club card
to offset the losses you can, no -- will
certainly experience on such a
negative-expectation game. As
for a “which numbers to play” strategy,
sorry, Lori, I can’t offer any. The numbers
are chosen at random and each draw is
independent, so playing providential numbers
you think are lucky, or numbers you feel are
"due," just doesn’t work.
Gambling Wisdom of the Week: "To
win without risk is to triumph without
glory." --Corneille
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